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Author: Michael D. Bordo Publisher: Cambridge University Press ISBN: 0521811333 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 257
Book Description
This book presents ten studies which combine historical narrative with econometrics to analyze the role of credibility in four monetary regimes.
Author: Michael D. Bordo Publisher: Cambridge University Press ISBN: 0521811333 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 257
Book Description
This book presents ten studies which combine historical narrative with econometrics to analyze the role of credibility in four monetary regimes.
Author: Michael D. Bordo Publisher: Cambridge University Press ISBN: 1107376955 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages :
Book Description
The present global monetary regime is based on floating among the major advanced countries. A key underlying factor behind the present regime is credibility to maintain stable monetary policies. The origin of credibility in monetary regimes goes back to the pre-1914 classical gold standard. In that regime, adherence by central banks to the rule of convertibility of national currencies in terms of a fixed weight of gold provided a nominal anchor to the price level. Between 1914 and the present several monetary regimes gradually moved away from gold, with varying success in maintaining price stability and credibility. In this book, the editors present ten studies combining historical narrative with econometrics that analyze the role of credibility in four monetary regimes, from the gold standard to the present managed float.
Author: Carlo Cottarelli Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 30
Book Description
This paper argues that many developing countries may find it difficult to buttress disinflation programs purely through the adoption of traditional credibility-enhancing devices (such as monetary anchors and central bank independence), owing to “technical problems” (for example, high instability of money demand, increased capital mobility) and an insufficient endowment of credibility in the political institutions. In these cases, borrowing credibility from an outside agency like the International Monetary Fund may be the most effective solution. The paper discusses the different options that would allow the Fund to support programs aimed not at external adjustment—the Fund’s traditional role—but at disinflation.
Author: Mr.Yan Carriere-Swallow Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1475560311 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 33
Book Description
A long-standing conjecture in macroeconomics is that recent declines in exchange rate pass-through are in part due to improved monetary policy performance. In a large sample of emerging and advanced economies, we find evidence of a strong link between exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices and the monetary policy regime’s performance in delivering price stability. Using input-output tables, we decompose exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices into a component that reflects the adjustment of imported goods at the border, and another that captures the response of all other prices. We find that price stability and central bank credibility have reduced the second component.
Author: Randall W. Stone Publisher: Princeton University Press ISBN: 0691095299 Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 311
Book Description
With the end of the Cold War, the International Monetary Fund emerged as the most powerful international institution in history. But how much influence can the IMF exert over fiercely contested issues in domestic politics that affect the lives of millions? In Lending Credibility, Randall Stone develops the first systematic approach to answering this question. Deploying an arsenal of methods from a range of social sciences rarely combined, he mounts a forceful challenge to conventional wisdom. Focusing on the former Soviet bloc, Stone finds that the IMF is neither as powerful as some critics fear, nor as weak as others believe, but that the answer hinges on the complex factor of how much credibility it can muster from country to country. Stone begins by building a formal, game-theoretic model of lending credibility, which he then subjects to sophisticated quantitative testing on original data from twenty-six countries over the 1990s. Next come detailed, interview-based case studies on negotiations between the IMF and Russia, Ukraine, Poland, and Bulgaria. Stone asserts that the IMF has exerted startling influence over economic policy in smaller countries, such as Poland and Bulgaria. However, where U.S. foreign policy interests come more heavily into play, as in Russia, the IMF cannot credibly commit to enforcing the loans-for-policy contract. This erodes its ability to facilitate enduring market reforms. Stone's context is the postcommunist transition in Europe and Asia, but his findings carry implications for IMF activities the world over.
Author: Pierre-Richard Agénor Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 44
Book Description
The paper examines the role of credibility in the conduct of exchange rate policy in developing countries, The analysis is based on a model in which policymakers are concerned about inflation and external competitiveness. Price setters in the nontraded goods sector of the economy adjust prices in reaction to anticipated fluctuations in the domestic price of tradable goods. This type of model is showm to generate a “devaluation bias” which undermines the credibility of a fixed exchange rate. The effect of reputational factors, signaling considerations, and joining a currency union as possible solutions to this bias is examined.
Author: International Monetary Fund Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: 1451927037 Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 34
Book Description
A common rationale for EMS membership is that it enhances the credibility of a central bank’s commitment to stable monetary growth. In this paper we consider this idea in the light of two features of the system, namely, the existence of exchange rate bands and the prevalence of capital controls. In our model, capital controls themselves affect credibility, reducing it in the absence of exchange-rate bands but enhancing it when there are such bands. We also show that it is difficult to reconcile the non-zero width of the bands with the credibility-based interpretation of the EMS.
Author: Jana Grittersova Publisher: University of Michigan Press ISBN: 0472130463 Category : Political Science Languages : en Pages : 311
Book Description
Explores multinational banks' role in enhancing monetary credibility, revealing the importance of market confidence in an interconnected world
Author: Timo T. Välilä Publisher: International Monetary Fund ISBN: Category : Business & Economics Languages : en Pages : 24
Book Description
The specific role of central bank independence in determining the overall credibility of monetary policy is addressed in this paper. It is argued that the credibility of delegating monetary policy to an independent central bank is endogenous to the credibility of the inflation target because a “conservative” inflation target may not be compatible with the fiscal policy stance. Also, lack of transparency in designing the institutional set-up is shown to be welfare-reducing.
Author: Michael D. Bordo
Author: Michael D. Bordo
Author: Michael D. Bordo
Author: Carlo Cottarelli
Author: Mr.Yan Carriere-Swallow
Author: Randall W. Stone
Author: Pierre-Richard Agénor
Author: International Monetary Fund
Author: Jana Grittersova
Author: Timo T. Välilä
Author: Bernhard Fritz-Krockow